Prediction market traders are putting real money on where bitcoin goes next, and right now, the crowd is split between a short-term bounce and a deeper correction.
Key Takeaways:
Polymarket shows a 31% chance bitcoin hits $80K in April 2026, making it the most active live bracket with $3.7M in volume.
Kalshi traders give bitcoin only an 18% chance of reclaiming $100K before July 2026, with 41%…
A film exploring Bitcoin’s origins is moving toward global release while spotlighting the mystery of Satoshi Nakamoto. Starring Gal Gadot and Casey Affleck, it revisits Craig Wright’s contested claims and their impact on Bitcoin’s identity.
Key Takeaways:
New Bitcoin…
CFTC Uses Microsoft AI Tools to Surveil Crypto and Prediction Markets, Chairman Tells Congress
April 17, 2026
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig told the House Agriculture Committee this week that the agency is deploying artificial intelligence (AI) and automated surveillance tools to police digital asset markets, prediction platforms, and traditional commodity derivatives as lawmakers…
The UK Financial Conduct Authority released consultation paper CP26/13 on April 15, 2026, asking crypto firms to weigh in on draft perimeter guidance before a full FSMA-based regulatory regime takes effect on Oct. 25, 2027.
Key Takeaways:
The FCA opened consultation CP26/13 on April 15, 2026, giving firms until June 3 to respond on crypto perimeter rules.
Exchanges, custodians, and stablecoin…
The arrests of the two singers and others were part of Operation Narco Fluxo, a high-level operation executed by the Brazilian Federal Police across several states. The flows intermediated using cryptocurrency reached well over $320 million, according to an official…
Virginia Gov. Abigail Spanberger signed House Bill 798 into law April 13, 2026, requiring crypto exchanges and custodians to transfer dormant digital assets to the state in their native token form rather than converting them to cash.
Key Takeaways:
Virginia Gov. Abigail…
Crypto.com Partners With NYSE-Listed Casino Operator High Roller to Launch US Prediction Market Contracts
April 16, 2026
Crypto.com has signed a definitive agreement with NYSE-listed online casino operator High Roller Technologies to offer prediction market contracts in the United States, adding another major entrant to a sector that has drawn both explosive growth and escalating legal challenges in recent months.
Key Takeaways:
High Roller Technologies (NYSE: ROLR) signed a definitive agreement with Crypto.com to…
3 Paths Ahead: Kraken Maps Warsh-Led Fed Scenarios That Could Shift Crypto out of Range
April 16, 2026
Monetary policy expectations are increasingly tied to a potential Federal Reserve leadership shift, with major implications for liquidity and risk assets. Kraken’s chief economist outlined scenarios that could reshape crypto markets under varying degrees of policy…
Grayscale Signals $2.2T Crypto Inflow Potential as $110T Wealth Transfer Accelerates Allocation Shift
April 15, 2026
A generational shift in wealth ownership is expected to reshape investment strategies, with Grayscale highlighting how digital assets could gain importance as younger investors take control. Changing preferences and broader market forces may gradually increase crypto’s…
XRP ETF inflows are accelerating, signaling rising institutional conviction while exposing a gap between demand and real network use. Evernorth highlighted a $120 million weekly surge, showing capital is validating the asset without directly supporting ecosystem activity.
Key Takeaways:
Evernorth highlights strong XRP ETF inflows, reflecting rising institutional confidence.
Institutional demand…
